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Advance/Decline Technical Analysis (Breadth Analysis)

Advance Decline Sentiment Report


Advance/Decline Quotes

Daily Advance/Decline (AD) Sentiment Report - (100% mechanical)

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S&P 500 NASDAQ 100 DJI Russell 2000 NYSE
S&P 500 Sentiment Report - 3/16/2010
Based on volume and advance/decline indicator of the S&P 500 basket
Previous trading day (3/15/2010) outlook: 61% Up and 39% Down.

The S&P 500 index advanced 0.78% today.

Advances beat declines by a ratio of almost 23 to 5 (an A/D issues ratio of 4.59). On the volume side, results were higher, generating an A/D volume ratio of 6.50. The divergence we noted between the AD issues and volume ratios (TRIN = 0.71) suggests that advancing stocks were traded more actively than declining issues. The average volume traded per advancing stock was 79,952.74 M; in contrast, the average volume traded per declining issue reached only 56,443.31 M shares. The highest A/D issues (5.18) and A/D volume ratios (7.00) were noted around 15:50. By this time, the index had gained about 0.00%. The session’s data tells us that overall market sentiment on this day was positive;  
Next Day S&P 500 Outlook:    Up 56%
  DOWN      44%
More Detailed Outlook...
(Next day outlook is 100% mechanically calculated and is based on index reaction to similar market sentiment occurrences in history back to 1997)
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About Daily AD Report:

  • The report is 100% mechanical;
  • The outlook is updated daily after the market close (generally by 17:30 EST);
  •  The report is generated for the most popular indexes, including the NYSE Composite, DJI, S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, as well as the Russell 2000.
  • After the market close, our system will:
    1. Automatically collect Advance/Decline data: Number of advanced and declined issues, advanced and declined volume, advance/decline volume and issues ratios, TRIN;
    2. Perform a historical scan for trading days which exhibited similar AD data on a closing basis;
    3. Determine the trend as well as the biggest advances and declines the following trading day;
    4. Formulate an outlook for the following trading day based on similar occurrences using historical AD data.
  • The system analyzes historical data going back to 1997;
  • The outlook for the following trading day is formulated as a percentage - stating a probability of the market being up or down that day. For instance, an outlook may state a 60% probability of an up-day versus a 40% probability of a down-day based on similar AD data in the period between 1997 and the present.

QQQQ Signals
Past 6 Months

10%

20%

Compound Compound
Margin

As of 3/19/2010

Buy / Sell Trading signals.

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