Advance/Decline Technical Analysis (Breadth Analysis)

Advance Decline Weekly Report


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Friday, July 29, 2005

Chart 1.Advancing and Declining (AD) Issues and AD Volume.
S&P 500 Index. July 25, 2005 to July 29, 2005.
Intraday Data (One Bar = 5 minutes)
Advance decline chart of the S&P 500 index in July 2005
 
Table 1.Advancing and Declining (AD) Issues and AD Volume.
S&P 500 Index. July 25, 2005 to July 29, 2005.
End-of-day data.
DateS&P 500
Change from
previous close
Advancing
Issues
Declining
Issues
A/D
Issues
Ratio
Advanced
Volume
Declined
Volume
A/D
Volume
Ratio
7/25/2005-0.37%1453470.424559960.46
7/26/20050.17%2961961.519536181.54
7/27/20050.45%3011911.581,1455781.98
7/28/20050.56%3861073.611,1115372.07
7/29/2005-0.76%1083860.283621,2440.29
Weekly Total:0.041,2361,2271.014,0263,9731.01
Online, the data in this table can best be viewed using a 6-month AD chart. Select the following settings: "Adv/Decl" and either "Adv / Decl Volume or "Adv / Decl Issues". Apply a 1-day A/D MA (moving average).

Table 1 above shows that:

  • July 25: On this day, 347 S&P 500 stocks declined while 145 issues advanced. Losers topped winners by a margin of 7 to 3 (an Advance/Decline issues ratio of 0.42). Based on volume readings, sentiment was similar - here, losers beat winners by a margin of 2 to 1 (an A/D volume ratio of 0.46). The session's highest Adv/Decl issues and Advance/Decline volume readings (of 2.41 and 3.22, respectively) were recorded at 10:45. By this time, the index had gained about 0.35%. The S&P 500 then spent the remainder of the session declining, ending the day 0.37% below the previous session's close. Overall, the data points to a negative to neutral market mood for this session;
  • July 26: 296 stocks were in the advancing issues group and 196 belonged to the group of decliners. Based on the number of issues, advances beat declines by a ratio of 3 to 2 (an Advance/Decline issues ratio of 1.51). Volume readings show that winners topped losers by a margin of 3 to 2 (an A/D volume ratio of 1.54). The highest Adv/Decl issues ratio of the session - a value of 2.73 - was noted around 10:15. By this time, the index had gained about 0.39%. The index moved sideways for much of the day. The session's data reveals an overall neutral market mood;
  • July 27: By the end of trading, 301 stocks in the S&P 500 index belonged to the group of advancing issues, but only 191 were counted among the group of declining issues. Winners topped losers by a margin of 8 to 5 (an Advance/Decline issues ratio of 1.58). In regards to volume readings, market sentiment was more elevated, with winners topping losers by a margin of 2 to 1 (an A/D volume ratio of 1.98). The highest Adv/Decl issues (of 2.33) and Advance/Decline volume ratios (of 2.19) were noted around 9:40. By this time, the index had gained roughly 0.25%. The session's lowest A/D issues and A/D volume readings (an Advance/Decline issues ratio of 0.76 and an Adv/Decl volume ratio of 0.90) were recorded around 10:15. By this time, the index had declined approximately 0.07%. Following these upswings and downswings, the index moved sideways until 13:00, then started an advance. Even though the S&P 500 closed the session with gain of 0.45%, market mood did not push past a neutral reading. The session's data thus points to an overall neutral market sentiment for this day;
  • July 28: By the end of trading, we counted 386 advancing stocks and 107 declining issues. Advances thus beat declines by a ratio of almost 18 to 5 (an A/D issues ratio of 3.61). On the volume side, results were lower, generating an Adv/Decl volume ratio of 2.07. Following some early gyrations, the index proceeded to move forward strongly; however, this advance was not able to push sentiment readings into strongly positive territory. At 15:25, the A/D issues ratio reached its highest daily level of 3.81; the same was the case for the A/D volume ratio. By this time, the index had gained about 0.59%. The large divergence between the Advance/Decline issues and Adv/Decl volume ratios (TRIN = 1.74) shows that declining stocks were traded more actively than advancing issues. The average volume traded per declining issue was 5.02 M; the average volume traded per advanced stock amounted to only 2.88 M. We conclude from the session's data that market breadth was positive;
  • July 29: By the end of trading, we counted 386 declining stocks and 108 advancing issues. Declines beat advances by a ratio of 7 to 2 (an A/D issues ratio of 0.28). The day's volume data reveals that declines topped advances by virtually the same ratio - by a factor of 7 to 2 - leading to an Advance/Decline volume ratio of 0.29. The S&P 500 index declined strongly throughout most of this session. The downdraft abated temporarily between 12:35 and 14:25; but after that time, the decline continued with renewed vigor. The lowest A/D issues and Adv/Decl volume ratios of the session occurred around 15:55, after the index had suffered a loss of 0.74% from its opening level. This was associated with an A/D issues ratio of 0.26. The session was dominated by a negative market breadth.

In Summary:

The S&P 500 index posted a slim 0.04% gain for the week, thus closing roughly unchanged from the previous week. Overall market mood readings came in mixed this week. Trading began on a neutral sentiment and remained at that level for the first three days. Then on Thursday, the index's gain of 0.56% boosted market mood into positive territory. On Friday, sentiment slipped clearly into negative territory, associated with the index's decline of 0.76% that day.

Overall, we assign a neutral market sentiment reading to this week; however, if we also take the following two factors into consideration, we could assess this week's market mood slightly lower - assigning a neutral to negative reading: (1) Despite the index's positive action on Thursday, trading activity was concentrated in the group of declining stocks; (2) On Friday, the S&P 500 showed a decline, closing the week out on a strong downbeat.

Disclaimer: The AD report is intended for educational purposes only - it does not constitute trading advice, nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. The AD report presents current AD data and may compare such information to similar occurrences in the past. However, its sole purpose is educational - comparisons of current events to similar market reactions in the past cannot be considered to have predictive qualities. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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