This week's SBV chart example is based on the 30-day SBV(20) S&P 500 (^SPX) chart.
+6% on the S&P 500 in a month
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 30-day view. 1 bar = 30 minutes. SBV(20)
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
2/01/2010
Rule #2
Buy
1087
+10
2/03/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1197
+31
2/08/2010
Rule #2
Buy
1069
+5
2/09/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1074
-4
2/10/2010
Rule #3
Buy
1070
-1
2/10/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1069
-2
2/11/2010
Rule #3
Buy
1071
-3
2/12/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1068
-6
2/12/2010
Rule #2
Buy
1074
+27
2/18/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1101
-5
2/18/2010
Rule #3
Buy
1106
+1
2/22/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1107
-1
2/22/2010
Rule #5
Cash
1108
2/24/2010
Rule #2
Buy
1102
-12
2/25/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1190
-14
2/26/2010
Rule #2
Buy
1104
+14
3/02/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1118
-2
3/04/2010
Rule #2
Buy
1120
0
3/04/2010
Rule #1
Sell Short
1120
-2
3/04/2010
Rule #2
Buy
1122
+23
3/10/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
1145
+1
3/11/2010
Rule #5
Cash
1144
Total:
+60 (+5.5%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 5-day SBV Histogram(14,9) S&P 500 index (^SPX) chart.
24 points on the S&P 500 in a week
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 5-day view. 1 bar = 5 minutes. SBV Histogram(14,9)
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV Histogram:
Once the SBV Histogram has advanced above zero level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position;
Once the SBV Histogram has fallen below a zero level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position;
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
3/1/2010
10:00
Rule #1
Buy
1111.56
+3.16
11:30
Rule #2
Sell Short
1114.72
+1.19
11:45
Rule #1
Buy
1113.53
+1.35
12:15
Rule #2
Sell Short
1114.88
-0.18
13:45
Rule #1
Buy
1115.06
-1.08
14:50
Rule #2
Sell Short
1113.98
-0.65
15:35
Rule #1
Buy
1114.63
+3.60
3/2/2010
10:10
Rule #2
Sell Short
1118.23
-4.08
11:10
Rule #1
Buy
1122.31
+0.37
11:50
Rule #2
Sell Short
1122.68
+1.33
13:00
Rule #1
Buy
1121.35
+0.19
14:20
Rule #2
Sell Short
1121.54
+4.35
15:55
Rule #1
Buy
1117.19
+7.11
3/3/2010
11:40
Rule #2
Sell Short
1124.30
+1.33
13:15
Rule #1
Buy
1122.97
-3.32
14:25
Rule #2
Sell Short
1119.65
-0.35
15:30
Rule #1
Buy
1120.00
+0.44
3/4/2010
10:15
Rule #2
Sell Short
1120.44
+0.31
11:15
Rule #1
Buy
1120.13
-0.62
12:20
Rule #2
Sell Short
1119.51
-0.49
12:50
Rule #1
Buy
1120.00
-0.87
13:35
Rule #2
Sell Short
1119.13
-0.95
14:25
Rule #1
Buy
1120.08
+0.52
15:15
Rule #2
Sell Short
1120.60
-0.20
15:40
Rule #1
Buy
1120.80
+12.82
3/5/2010
10:40
Rule #2
Sell Short
1133.62
-0.78
12:50
Rule #1
Buy
1134.40
-0.24
13:55
Rule #2
Sell Short
1134.16
-2.02
14:40
Rule #1
Buy
1136.18
+2.04
15:50
Rule #2
Sell Short
1138.22
Total:
+24.28 (+2.2%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 30-day SBV(20) Dow Jones Industrials (^DJI) chart.
+7% on the DJI in a month
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. DJI index. 30-day view. 1 bar = 30 minutes. SBV(16)
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
1/20/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,545
+301
1/26/2010
Rule #2
Buy
10,244
+15
1/26/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,259
+121
1/28/2010
Rule #2
Buy
10.138
+61
1/26/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,199
+27
2/1/2010
Rule #2
Buy
10,172
+96
2/3/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,268
+240
2/9/2010
Rule #2
Buy
10,028
+74
2/9/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,102
+48
2/10/2010
Rule #3
Buy
10,054
-11
2/10/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,043
-82
2/11/2010
Rule #2
Buy
10,125
-99
2/12/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,026
-66
2/12/2010
Rule #3
Buy
10,092
+240
2/18/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,332
-42
2/18/2010
Rule #2
Buy
10,374
+17
2/22/2010
Rule #4
Sell Short
10,391
+22
2/24/2010
Rule #2
Buy
10,396
-152
2/25/2010
Rule #5
Cash
10,217
Total:
+810 (+7.7%)
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Our charts are unique in that they give traders the opportunity to choose the specific chart settings that best fit their personal trading styles and risk tolerances. Traders can thus develop and test their own trading systems. On our charts, you can scroll back in history to test any system that you have created.
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 1-day S&P 500 chart and SBV Histogram. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart examples of February 12, 2010 - the same chart setting, the same indicators and the same rules were used.
Chart 1. Trailing stop applied to signals generated by SBV Histogram. S&P 500 index. 1-day view. 1 bar = 1 min. SBV Histogram(14,9)
It's Simple and profitable
The difference between the SBV Oscillator and the SBV Histogram is that the SBV Oscillator uses a horizontal signal line and, as a rule, signals are generated when the SBV Oscillator crosses a certain signal level (20% for instance). In the case of the SBV Histogram, the signal line is an exponential moving average that generates a signal when the SBV Oscillator intersects the signal line (when the Histogram = 0). Furthermore, 4-rule simple trading system (detailed 4-rule system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial) would be modified into two rules trading system:
Once the SBV Histogram has advanced above zero level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position;
Once the SBV Histogram has fallen below a zero level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position;
Additional Trailing Stop Rule - Close a long trade when price droppers down 1 point and close a short trade if price moves up 1 point.
Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and even double the summary profit. See details of the trades generated by our simple trading system in the table below.
Table 1: Trades generated by trading system on February 19th, 2010.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
9:39
rule #2
Buy
1104.75
-0.25
9:44
rule #2
Cash
1104.50
9:52
rule #2
Sell Short
1103.75
+2.00
10:02
rule #2
Cash
1101.75
10:05
rule #2
Buy
1101.50
0
10:08
rule #2
Sell Short
1101.50
-0.50
10:09
rule #2
Buy
1102.00
+2.75
10:31
rule #2
Cash
1104.75
10:32
rule #2
Sell Short
1104.50
-0.75
10:43
rule #2
Cash
1105.25
10:46
rule #2
Buy
1106.00
-0.50
10:52
rule #2
Cash
1105.50
10:54
rule #2
Sell Short
1105.75
-0.50
11:07
rule #2
Buy
1106.25
+2.00
11:19
rule #2
Cash
1108.25
11:27
rule #2
Sell Short
1109.75
-0.25
11:42
rule #2
Buy
1110.00
-0.25
11:47
rule #2
Sell Short
1109.75
-0.25
11:58
rule #2
Buy
1110.00
+1.25
12:11
rule #2
Sell Short
1111.25
0
12:23
rule #2
Buy
1111.25
+0.25
12:29
rule #2
Cash
1111.50
12:35
rule #2
Sell Short
1111.25
+0.25
12:47
rule #2
Buy
1111.00
+0.25
13:04
rule #2
Sell Short
1111.25
0
13:09
rule #2
Buy
11111.25
0
13:11
rule #2
Sell Short
11111.25
+0.50
13:21
rule #2
Buy
1110.75
-0.25
13:23
rule #2
Sell Short
1110.50
+0.25
13:35
rule #2
Buy
1110.25
-0.25
13:50
rule #2
Sell Short
1110.00
+1.00
14:05
rule #2
Buy
1109.00
-1.00
14:09
rule #2
Cash
1108.00
14:10
rule #2
Sell Short
1108.25
-0.25
14:14
rule #2
Buy
1108.50
+0.75
14:28
rule #2
Sell Short
1109.25
-0.75
14:36
rule #2
Buy
1110.00
-0.50
14:40
rule #2
Sell Short
1109.50
-0.50
14:54
rule #2
Buy
1110.00
-0.50
14:59
rule #2
Sell Short
1109.50
+2.25
15:22
rule #2
Buy
1107.25
+2.75
15:50
rule #2
Sell Short
1110.00
+1.00
16:00
rule #2
Cash
1109.00
Total:
+10.00
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 1-day S&P 500 chart and SBV Histogram.
Chart 1. Trailing stop applied to signals generated by SBV Oscillator. S&P 500 index. 1-day view. 1 bar = 1 min. SBV Histogram(20,14)
It's Simple and profitable
The difference between the SBV Oscillator and the SBV Histogram is that the SBV Oscillator uses a horizontal signal line and, as a rule, signals are generated when the SBV Oscillator crosses a certain signal level (20% for instance). In the case of the SBV Histogram, the signal line is an exponential moving average that generates a signal when the SBV Oscillator intersects the signal line (when the Histogram = 0). Furthermore, 4-rule simple trading system (detailed 4-rule system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial) would be modified into two rules trading system:
Once the SBV Histogram has advanced above zero level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position;
Once the SBV Histogram has fallen below a zero level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position;
Additional Trailing Stop Rule - Close a long trade when price droppers down 1 point and close a short trade if price moves up 1 point.
Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and even double the summary profit. See details of the trades generated by our simple trading system in the table below.
Table 1: Trades generated by trading system on February 5th, 2010.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
9:32
rule #2
Sell Short
1066.75
-0.25
9:34
rule #3
Cash
1067.00
9:51
rule #1
Buy
1064.25
+1.75
10:00
rule #3
Cash
1066.00
10:36
rule #2
Sell Short
1067.50
+1.50
10:43
rule #3
Cash
1066.00
10:59
rule #1
Buy
1067.00
-1.00
11:00
rule #3
Cash
1066.00
11:04
rule #2
Sell Short
1065.75
-1.00
11:08
rule #1
Buy
1066.75
-0.50
11:12
rule #2
Sell Short
1066.25
-1.00
11:15
rule #1
Buy
1067.25
+1.50
11:27
rule #3
Cash
1068.75
11:29
rule #2
Sell Short
1068.50
-0.25
11:41
rule #3
Cash
1068.75
11:49
rule #1
Buy
1069.25
-1.00
11:52
rule #2
Sell Short
1068.25
-0.50
11:56
rule #1
Buy
1068.75
+7.00
12:26
rule #3
Cash
1075.75
12:27
rule #2
Sell Short
1075.25
0.00
12:47
rule #3
Cash
1075.25
12:52
rule #1
Buy
1074.50
+0.25
12:54
rule #2
Sell Short
1074.75
+0.00
12:55
rule #1
Buy
1074.75
-0.25
12:57
rule #2
Sell Short
1074.50
+0.50
13:02
rule #1
Buy
1074.00
-0.50
13:05
rule #2
Sell Short
1073.50
+2.75
13:18
rule #3
Cash
1070.75
13:28
rule #1
Buy
1069.75
-1.00
13:30
rule #2
Sell Short
1068.75
-0.25
13:35
rule #1
Buy
1069.00
+1.50
13:55
rule #3
Cash
1070.50
14:00
rule #2
Sell Short
1070.50
-1.00
14:02
rule #3
Cash
1071.50
14:09
rule #1
Buy
1072.25
+4.50
14:24
rule #3
Cash
1076.75
14:30
rule #2
Sell Short
1076.50
+1.00
14:50
rule #3
Cash
1075.50
15:17
rule #1
Buy
1072.50
-0.50
15:59
rule #3
Cash
1072.00
15:31
rule #2
Sell Short
1071.25
-0.25
15:34
rule #3
Cash
1071.50
15:38
rule #1
Buy
1072.25
+2.50
15:45
rule #3
Cash
1074.75
Total:
+15.50
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
1 point on the Russell 2000 = $100 on Russell 200 emini
5 points on the Russell 2000 = $500 on Russell 200 emini
10 points = $10,000 on 10 emini contracts
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 1-day Russell 2000 chart and SBV Histogram. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the Russell 2000 chart examples of January 22, 15 and 8, 2010. This example continues to illustrate that the simple trading system continue to work in any market. The same chart setting, the same indicators and the same rules were used a month ago when we had bullish market. Now, in bearish market, the system continue to deliver amassing returns.
Chart 1. Trailing stop applied to signals generated by SBV Oscillator. Russell 2000 index. 1-day view. 1 bar = 1 min. SBV Histogram(20,14)
It's Simple and profitable
The difference between the SBV Oscillator and the SBV Histogram is that the SBV Oscillator uses a horizontal signal line and, as a rule, signals are generated when the SBV Oscillator crosses a certain signal level (20% for instance). In the case of the SBV Histogram, the signal line is an exponential moving average that generates a signal when the SBV Oscillator intersects the signal line (when the Histogram = 0). Furthermore, 4-rule simple trading system (detailed 4-rule system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial) would be modified into two rules trading system:
Once the SBV Histogram has advanced above zero level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position;
Once the SBV Histogram has fallen below a zero level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position;
By going into lower timeframe you should remember that SBV simple trading system would generate more signals, furthermore, the odds of lost trades are higher. Because of that, it would be logical to set tighter stop-loss strategy which would help to reduce loses and protect profit. You have to bear in mind that, form one side, any stop-loss strategy protects a system from big losses and secures the profit. From other side, there will be trades with missed profit. Furthermore, the same as in previous week's chart example, we used 0.3 point trailing stop rule in our trading system:
Additional Trailing Stop Rule - Close a long trade when price droppers down 0.3 points and close a short trade if price moves up 0.3 points.
Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and even double the summary profit. See details of the trades generated by our simple trading system in the table below.
Table 1: Trades generated by trading system on February 5th, 2010.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
9:42
rule #1
Buy
588.70
-0.1
9:45
rule #3
Cash
588.60
9:52
rule #2
Sell Short
587.20
1.6
10:00
rule #3
Cash
585.60
10:01
rule #1
Buy
585.70
0
10:04
rule #2
Sell Short
585.70
1
10:11
rule #3
Cash
584.70
10:12
rule #1
Buy
585.00
-0.3
10:13
rule #3
Cash
584.70
10:47
rule #2
Sell Short
589.90
-0.3
10:51
rule #3
Cash
590.20
11:18
rule #1
Buy
589.70
-0.3
11:21
rule #3
Cash
589.40
11:31
rule #2
Sell Short
588.50
4.1
11:45
rule #3
Cash
584.40
11:50
rule #1
Buy
585.50
-0.1
11:52
rule #3
Cash
585.40
12:13
rule #2
Sell Short
585.80
-0.1
12:19
rule #3
Cash
585.90
12:20
rule #1
Buy
587.70
-0.3
12:22
rule #3
Cash
587.00
12:24
rule #2
Sell Short
586.80
0.1
12:32
rule #3
Cash
586.90
12:34
rule #1
Buy
587.10
-0.1
12:39
rule #3
Cash
587.00
12:40
rule #2
Sell Short
586.60
-0.2
12:44
rule #3
Cash
586.80
12:51
rule #1
Buy
587.30
-0.3
12:52
rule #3
Cash
587.00
12:53
rule #2
Sell Short
586.40
-0.3
12:56
rule #3
Cash
586.70
12:59
rule #1
Buy
587.30
-0.3
13:02
rule #3
Cash
587.00
13:05
rule #2
Sell Short
586.70
0.8
13:16
rule #3
Cash
585.90
13:49
rule #1
Buy
581.40
-0.3
13:55
rule #3
Cash
581.10
14:29
rule #2
Sell Short
583.80
0.5
14:32
rule #3
Cash
583.30
14:51
rule #1
Buy
584.20
6.5
15:10
rule #3
Cash
590.30
15:21
rule #2
Sell Short
590.10
0.7
15:27
rule #3
Cash
589.40
15:39
rule #1
Buy
591.50
0.2
15:43
rule #3
Cash
591.70
15:52
rule #2
Sell Short
581.80
-0.3
15:55
rule #3
Cash
592.10
Total:
+12.20
Stop-Loss Level and Volatility
If you compare current chart example with similar Russell 2000 chart examples we published in January 2010 you may notice that the main difference is that in January 2010 all major trends within a single session were caught by SBV Histogram. In the current chart example we have all major intraday trends caught as well, yet, in some cases 0.3 point stop-level (which worked very nice a month ago) did not allow to achieve greater profit from stronger intraday trends. Still the system has generated the amazing result.
The difference between the current market and the market a month ago is that the volatility level is much higher now. General theory of technical analysis states that in order to achieve better results, stop-loss should be adjust to the volatility - the more volatile market the wider stop-loss should be. In more volatile market intraday trends are stronger, yet they are more volatile. Wider stop in volatile market is more risky, yet it may allow to avoid choppy trading and receive potentially higher profit from intraday trends.
For volatility monitoring we recommend using ATR Or Bollinger Bandwidth.
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
1 point on S&P 500 = $50 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 futures contract
10 points on S&P 500 = $5,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contract
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 5-day SBV(20) S%P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of December 18, 2009. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:
Chart 1. Relationship between the SBV Oscillator and index reversal points. S&P 500 index. 5-day view. 1 bar = 5 min. SBV(20)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are not already short);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are not already long);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Stop Loss Rule - If the SBV had dropped into negative territory and has begun to rise without having hit the signal line, close the short position when the SBV is back in positive territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Do the opposite for a long position: if the SBV had moved into positive territory and has begun to decline without having hit the positive signal line, close the long position when the SBV is back in negative territory, and stay in cash until a new signal appears.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Table 1: Trades based on the 5-rule system.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
1/22/2010
rule #4
Sell Short
1111
+14
1/25/2010
rule #2
Buy
1097
0
1/25/2010
rule #1
Sell Short
1097
0
1/25/2010
rule #2
Buy
1097
-2
1/25/2010
rule #1
Sell Short
1095
-5
1/25/2010
rule #2
Buy
1100
-1
1/25/2010
rule #4
Sell Short
1099
+3
1/26/2010
rule #2
Buy
1096
+1
1/26/2010
rule #1
Sell Short
1097
0
1/26/2010
rule #2
Buy
1097
+5
1/26/2010
rule #4
Sell Short
1102
+3
1/26/2010
rule #2
Buy
1099
-1
1/26/2010
rule #1
Sell Short
1098
+7
1/27/2010
rule #2
Buy
1091
-3
1/27/2010
rule #5
Cash
1088
1/27/2010
rule #2
Buy
1088
+6
1/28/2010
rule #4
Sell Short
1094
+10
1/28/2010
rule #2
Buy
1084
+6
1/28/2010
rule #4
Sell Short
1090
0
1/28/2010
rule #3
Buy
1090
1/29/2010
rule #4
Sell Short
1090
+3
1/29/2010
rule #2
Buy
1087
-5
1/29/2010
rule #5
Cash
1082
Total:
+41
Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and, in some cases, even double the summary profit.
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
1 point on the Russell 2000 = $100 on Russell 200 emini
5 points on the Russell 2000 = $500 on Russell 200 emini
10 points = $10,000 on 10 emini contracts
This week we have introduced SBV Histogram - advanced version of SBV Oscillator. Last week's chart example was based on the the 1-day SBV(20) Russell 2000 chart. To illustrate how SBV Histogram could be used, this week's chart example has the same timeframe, the same index, the same trailing stop level and the same bar period for SBV. The only difference is that we used SBV Histogram instead of SBV Oscillator.
In the example below we added a simple trailing stop to the system.
Chart 1. Trailing stop applied to signals generated by SBV Oscillator. Russell 2000 index. 1-day view. 1 bar = 1 min. SBV(16)
It's Simple and profitable
The difference between the SBV Oscillator and the SBV Histogram is that the SBV Oscillator uses a horizontal signal line and, as a rule, signals are generated when the SBV Oscillator crosses a certain signal level (20% for instance). In the case of the SBV Histogram, the signal line is an exponential moving average that generates a signal when the SBV Oscillator intersects the signal line (when the Histogram = 0). Furthermore, four rules simple trading system (detailed 4-rule system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial) would be modified into two rules trading system:
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above zero level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position;
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a zero level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position;
By going into lower timeframe you should remember that SBV simple trading system would generate more signals, furthermore, the odds of lost trades are higher. Because of that, it would be logical to set tighter stop-loss strategy which would help to reduce loses and protect profit. You have to bear in mind that, form one side, any stop-loss strategy protects a system from big losses and secures the profit. From other side, there will be trades with missed profit. Furthermore, the same as in previous week's chart example, we used 0.3 point trailing stop rule in our trading system:
Additional Trailing Stop Rule - Close a long trade when price droppers down 0.3 points and close a short trade if price moves up 0.3 points.
Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and even double the summary profit. See details of the trades generated by our simple trading system in the table below.
Table 1: Trades generated by trading system on January 22, 2010.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
09:41
rule #1
Buy
627.50
-0.30
09:45
rule #3
Trailing Stop
627.20
10:01
rule #2
Sell Short
626.80
+2.60
10:12
rule #3
Trailing Stop
624.20
10:25
rule #1
Buy
623.40
+2.50
10:33
rule #3
Trailing Stop
625.90
10:48
rule #2
Sell Short
626.50
0
10:53
rule #3
Trailing Stop
626.50
11:04
rule #1
Buy
629.60
-0.30
11:09
rule #3
Trailing Stop
629.30
11:13
rule #2
Sell Short
628.80
-0.30
11:17
rule #3
Trailing Stop
629.10
11:30
rule #1
Buy
629.90
+0.40
11:38
rule #3
Trailing Stop
630.30
11:39
rule #2
Sell Short
629.70
+2.10
12:05
rule #3
Trailing Stop
627.60
12:08
rule #1
Buy
627.70
+2.10
12:41
rule #2
Sell Short
629.80
+0.40
12:55
rule #3
Trailing Stop
629.40
13:11
rule #1
Buy
628.20
-0.30
13:15
rule #2
Sell Short
627.90
-0.20
13:19
rule #3
Trailing Stop
628.10
13:20
rule #1
Buy
628.20
-0.10
13:25
rule #3
Trailing Stop
628.10
13:40
rule #2
Sell Short
627.00
+0.60
13:50
rule #3
Trailing Stop
626.40
13:53
rule #1
Buy
626.50
0
13:56
rule #2
Sell Short
626.50
-0.10
13:58
rule #1
Buy
626.60
-0.20
14:06
rule #3
Trailing Stop
626.40
14:11
rule #2
Sell Short
625.20
-0.30
14:13
rule #3
Trailing Stop
655.50
14:18
rule #1
Buy
626.20
-0.30
14:20
rule #2
Sell Short
626.90
+2.30
14:32
rule #3
Trailing Stop
624.60
14:47
rule #1
Buy
623.10
-0.30
14:50
rule #3
Trailing Stop
622.80
14:54
rule #1
Sell Short
621.80
+1.10
15:01
rule #3
Trailing Stop
622.70
15:05
rule #1
Buy
622.70
-0.20
15:07
rule #3
Trailing Stop
622.50
15:15
rule #2
Sell Short
621.20
+0.90
15:18
rule #3
Trailing Stop
619.30
15:30
rule #1
Buy
618.60
-0.30
15:32
rule #3
Trailing Stop
618.30
15:47
rule #2
Sell Short
615.60
-0.30
15:49
rule #3
Trailing Stop
615.90
15:54
rule #1
Buy
617.80
-0.10
15:57
rule #3
Trailing Stop
617.70
Total:
+11.40
Index Or Emini charts?
We consider that index charts are more suitable for e-mini trading then e-mini charts. As an example, SP emini tracks the S&P 500 index and if the technical indicators applied to the index point to the trend reversal we think that SP emini would rather follow the index trend even if the same technical indicators applied to emini would point in opposite direction.
While index and emini price has the same trend and price based technical indicators applied to emini and index would generate the similar signals, in case with volume based technical indicators you may have different signals because index volume covers volume of all stocks from the index basket and emini volume covers only emini. In addition volume on emini depends on the time to the expiration and this affect volume based indicators as well.
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
1 point on the Russell 2000 = $100 on Russell 200 emini
5 points on the Russell 2000 = $500 on Russell 200 emini
10 points = $10,000 on 10 emini contracts
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 1-day SBV(16) Russell 2000 chart.
By going into lower timeframe you should remember that SBV simple trading system would generate more signals, furthermore, the odds of lost trades are higher. Because of that, it would be logical to set tighter stop-loss strategy which would help to reduce loses and protect profit. You have to bear in mind that, form one side, any stop-loss strategy protects a system from big losses and secures the profit. From other side, there will be trades with missed profit.
Before applying any strategy into real trading it is recommended to test it on the chart. All settings in our example are for educational purposes only to show how our indicators could be used. You may scroll our charts back in history and test various chart setting to see which one would fit your personal trading.
In the example below we added a simple trailing stop to the system.
Chart 1. Trailing stop applied to signals generated by SBV Oscillator. Russell 2000 index. 1-day view. 1 bar = 1 min. SBV(16)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are in long position);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are in short position);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Trailing Stop Rule - Close a long trade when price droppers down 0.3 points and close a short trade if price moves up 0.3 points.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and even double the summary profit. See details of the trades generated by our simple trading system in the table below.
Table 1: Trades generated by trading system on January 15, 2010.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
09:43
rule #4
Sell Short
646.30
+7.80
10:24
rule #2
Buy
638.50
-0.30
10:25
rule #5
Trailing Stop
638.20
10:38
rule #2
Buy
637.40
-0.10
10:39
rule #1
Sell Short
637.30
+0.90
10:42
rule #5
Trailing Stop
636.40
10:52
rule #2
Buy
637.70
-0.30
11:07
rule #5
Trailing Stop
637.40
11:51
rule #2
Buy
636.40
-0.30
11:54
rule #5
Trailing Stop
636.10
12:10
rule #2
Buy
635.50
0
12:20
rule #5
Trailing Stop
635.50
12:22
rule #4
Sell Short
635.30
+0.90
12:34
rule #5
Trailing Stop
634.50
12:51
rule #2
Buy
634.60
+0.20
13:04
rule #5
Trailing Stop
634.80
13:12
rule #4
Sell Short
634.50
-0.30
13:19
rule #5
Trailing Stop
634.80
13:44
rule #4
Sell Short
635.20
-0.30
13:47
rule #5
Trailing Stop
635.50
14:07
rule #4
Sell Short
635.90
-0.10
14:09
rule #3
Buy
636.00
-0.10
14:19
rule #4
Sell Short
635.90
+0.40
14:34
rule #5
Trailing Stop
635.50
14:39
rule #2
Buy
635.40
-0.30
14:43
rule #5
Trailing Stop
635.10
14:50
rule #2
Buy
634.90
+2.30
15:32
rule #5
Trailing Stop
637.20
Total:
+10.40
Index Or Emini charts?
We consider that index charts are more suitable for e-mini trading then e-mini charts. As an example, SP emini tracks the S&P 500 index and if the technical indicators applied to the index point to the trend reversal we think that SP emini would rather follow the index trend even if the same technical indicators applied to emini would point in opposite direction.
While index and emini price has the same trend and price based technical indicators applied to emini and index would generate the similar signals, in case with volume based technical indicators you may have different signals because index volume covers volume of all stocks from the index basket and emini volume covers only emini. In addition volume on emini depends on the time to the expiration and this affect volume based indicators as well.
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.
1 point on the Russell 2000 = $100 on Russell 200 emini
5 points on the Russell 2000 = $500 on Russell 200 emini
5 points = $5,000 on 10 emini contracts
This week's SBV chart example is based on the 1-day SBV(16) Russell 2000 chart.
We constantly receiving emails from our subscribers on applying SBV Oscillator on lower timeframes. By going into lower timeframe you should remember that SBV simple trading system would generate more signals, furthermore, the odds of lost trades are higher. Because of that, it would be logical to set tighter stop-loss strategy which would help to reduce loses and protect profit. You have to bear in mind that, form one side, any stop-loss strategy protects a system from big losses and secures the profit. From other side, there will be trades with missed profit.
Before applying any strategy into real trading it is recommended to test it on the chart. All settings in our example are for educational purposes only to show how our indicators could be used. You may scroll our charts back in history and test various chart setting to see which one would fit your personal trading.
In the example below we added a simple trailing stop to the system.
Chart 1. Trailing stop applied to signals generated by SBV Oscillator. Russell 2000 index. 1-day view. 1 bar = 1 min. SBV(16)
It's Simple and profitable
In our trading example, we applied the following simple system which is based on our SBV indicator:
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a negative signal level (the indicator will now show red), we will enter a short position (if we are in long position);
Once the SBV indicator has advanced above a negative signal level (after having been below that level), we will enter a long position (the indicator still shows red);
Once the SBV indicator has rallied above a positive signal level (the indicator will now show green), we will enter a long position (if we are in short position);
Once the SBV indicator has fallen below a positive signal level (after having been above that level), we will enter a short position (the indicator still shows green);
Additional Trailing Stop Rule - Close a long trade when price droppers down 0.3 points and close a short trade if price moves up 0.3 points.
Detailed system description with explanation of used rules could be found in our "SBV Trading System" tutorial.
Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and even double the summary profit. See details of the trades generated by our simple trading system in the table below.
Table 1: Trades generated by trading system on January 8, 2010.
Time
Motivation
Signal
Index
Profit (points)
09:45
rule #2
Buy
640.11
+1.85
10:05
rule #5
Trailing Stop from 641.96
641.96
10:15
rule #4
Sell Short
641.89
-0.30
10:21
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
642.19
10:30
rule #4
Sell Short
642.08
+0.92
10:50
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
641.16
10:54
rule #2
Buy
641.49
+0.36
11:05
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
641.85
11:10
rule #4
Sell Short
641.66
-0.22
11:18
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
641.88
11:35
rule #4
Sell Short
642.01
+0.52
11:47
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
641.49
11:51
rule #2
Buy
641.76
+0.36
12:17
rule #4
Sell Short
642.10
-0.25
12:33
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
642.35
13:48
rule #4
Sell Short
643.07
+0.81
14:11
rule #2
Buy
642.26
-0.17
14:25
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
642.09
14:44
rule #2
Buy
641.80
-0.12
14:50
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
641.68
14:55
rule #2
Buy
641.72
+1.06
14:35
rule #4
Sell Short
642.78
-0.31
14:37
rule #3
Buy
642.11
+0.47
14:45
rule #5
Trailing Stop from
643.58
14:56
rule #4
Sell Short
643.60
-0.16
16:00
rule #2
Trailing Stop from
643.44
Total:
+4.82
Index Or Emini charts?
We consider that index charts are more suitable for e-mini trading then e-mini charts. As an example, SP emini tracks the S&P 500 index and if the technical indicators applied to the index point to the trend reversal we think that SP emini would rather follow the index trend even if the same technical indicators applied to emini would point in opposite direction.
While index and emini price has the same trend and price based technical indicators applied to emini and index would generate the similar signals, in case with volume based technical indicators you may have different signals because index volume covers volume of all stocks from the index basket and emini volume covers only emini. In addition volume on emini depends on the time to the expiration and this affect volume based indicators as well.
Note: The 20% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time that the trading examples were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider the current market situation and review the history of prior volume surges, including their magnitude (i.e., the level that the SBV indicator reached).
Disclaimer:The chart example is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or make or imply any market trend prediction.